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Arbitrage break-even spread calculator

Before searching for a price gap, calculate how large that gap must be to pay for the trade. This tool finds the minimum selling price needed to recover a Bitcoin purchase, both proportional trading fees and your fixed quote-currency costs. It answers a different question from a profit calculator: what sell price would make this particular route break even? Change the quantity to see how fixed costs affect the threshold. The output is a mathematical requirement, not evidence that the required price is available.

Explicit assumptionsFormula & methodology includedNo account required

Set your assumptions

CALCULATE LOCALLY

Default values are an illustrative scenario, not current market quotes. Use consistent quote-currency units across your inputs.

Your scenario

ESTIMATED RESULT
Break-even sell price$80,180.18
Required gross spread0.2252%
Required price difference$180.18
Total entry cost$8,008.00
Break-even sell price = [buy price × (1 + buy fee) + other costs / quantity] / (1 − sell fee).

Break-even includes both percentage fees and supplied flat costs. Actual execution may require an additional buffer for slippage, latency and rebalancing.

Shared links contain the input values. Share only information you intend to make public.

Explore how the result changes

Sensitivity analysis: only the selected input changes. Other assumptions stay fixed. Points outside the model’s valid range are excluded. This is not a forecast.

Read methodology ↗

Why adding two fee percentages is only an approximation

The buy fee applies to the purchase price and the sell fee applies to the selling price. Because the amounts differ, simply adding the two percentages does not give the exact required spread. Fixed transfer or rebalancing costs also depend on how much BTC you trade.

With buy price B, buy fee b, sell fee s, quantity q and fixed costs C, the break-even selling price is [B × (1 + b) + C ÷ q] ÷ (1 − s). The required spread percentage is the resulting sell price divided by B, minus one, multiplied by 100.

Understand the effect of quantity

A fixed cost is spread across the entire quantity. Doubling the trade size halves its per-BTC contribution to the threshold, assuming the fixed cost stays unchanged. The proportional fees do not shrink in the same way unless your actual fee tier changes.

Larger orders can create additional slippage. A lower calculated threshold at a larger quantity is therefore not proof that scaling improves the trade. Recalculate the buy and sell execution prices using the depth available for that quantity before relying on the comparison.

Use the threshold as a rejection filter

Start with your actual fee tier and include costs needed to complete or rebalance the route. Compare the break-even sell price with an executable bid on the destination exchange. A bid below the threshold fails the cost test before other operational considerations are examined.

A bid above the threshold still leaves execution timing, partial fills and changes in liquidity unresolved. This model assumes identical base quantities and fees charged in the quote currency. It does not include a prediction of how long a price discrepancy will remain available.

Questions about this tool

Why does a fixed withdrawal fee matter more on a small arbitrage trade?

The same fixed cost is divided by fewer BTC. Its contribution to the required sell price rises as the quantity falls, so a route can be uneconomic at one size and pass the cost test at another.

Is the break-even spread my minimum acceptable profit target?

No. Break-even covers the costs entered and leaves zero modeled profit. A profit target, an uncertainty allowance and any additional operational costs require a selling price above that threshold.

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